NWS Ups Chances of Severe Weather in S.A. Metro

Strong to severe storms are possible this afternoon and tonight across a wide part of Texas. TheNational Weather Service says damaging thunderstorm winds of up to 70 mph are possible. Forecasters say there is also a chance of an isolated tornado or two, especially if supercells develop. Large hail up to 2 inches in diameter is also possible. Forecasters expect rainfall totals to vary from 1/4 of an inch to 3/4 of an inch of rain, with isolated higher amounts of 1 to 2 inches. Hail is also a concern.

What is new for this update:

The risk for severe weather has been shifted further west, including areas along and east of a Rocksprings to Carrizo Springs line.

Headline:

.Strong to Severe Storms Possible this Afternoon and Evening...

Area of Concern:

The area of concern will be along and east of a Rocksprings to Carrizo Springs line. The most favored areas for severe storms will be east of a Llano to New Braunfels to Hallettsville line, where there is an enhanced risk of severe storms.

Threats & Impacts:

Winds:  Damaging Thunderstorm Winds Up to 70 mph.

Tornadoes:  An isolated tornado or two possible, either embedded in the line of thunderstorms or a smaller chance of individual storms ahead of the line.

Hail:  Large hail up to 2 inches in diameter possible.

Rainfall:  1/4 of an inch to 3/4 of an inch of rain, with isolated higher amounts of 1 to 2 inches.

Timing and Overview:

An upper-level storm system and cold front will move across South Central Texas this afternoon initiating a line of showers and thunderstorms. The line will move east through the evening hours. The main threat will be damaging thunderstorm winds and large hail. Isolated tornadoes are also possible. The Storm Prediction Center has placed areas along and east of a Rocksprings to Carrizo Springs line under a severe weather risk. The most favored areas for severe storms will be east of a Llano to New Braunfels to Hallettsville line, where there is an enhanced risk of severe storms. There may be some lingering showers early Saturday morning across the far eastern areas of South Central Texas. However, it appears any activity that develops behind the main line will likely not be severe.

Confidence:

Timing: High

Threat Location: Moderate to High

Threat Magnitude: Moderate

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